Offer Pricing

A suggested price for a deal, built from prices that already closed, with the reasons behind it and a report on how close it lands

What it is

A suggested price is the number Zooly would put on a deal between one brand and one talent for one deal type: what that work is worth for that person, and the amount both sides are most likely to agree to.

It is a starting point, not a quote. Nobody is bound by it, and nobody receives it unless a person on the team shares it. Asking for one costs nothing, because it is worked out from facts Zooly already holds: no paid lookups and no model call per offer.

Where it appears

  • On a deal idea. The idea a talent or a brand reads carries the number in its own sentence: "one sponsored video for your headphones, suggested $3,000".
  • On the Seeds page in admin. Each idea shows its price, a short note of where the number came from, and an Edit price button so the team can replace it.
  • In a price lookup. The team can ask for a price for one brand, one talent and one deal type, with an optional budget and usage, and get the number back with its range and reasons.
  • In the accuracy report. The report compares what was suggested with what deals actually agreed.

The price on a deal idea is filled from the brief's budget, or the talent's own minimum, or left blank for the team to set. The suggestion described on this page is what the team sees when it asks for a price, and connecting the two is the next step.

What it is based on

The suggestion starts from a market band for the deal type and the talent's size, then blends in real prices, weighted by how much of each there is.

The band.

  • Posts are priced by follower size, from nano to mega, separately for a photo and a short video.
  • Podcast reads are priced by CPM: a rate per 1,000 downloads per episode, with a floor under it.
  • Brand use of a known talent's image, video or voice is priced as a share of what that talent charges for a post of their own, since nothing is posted and the brand gets no reach. The rights then multiply it.
  • Voice ads start from a base for digital or broadcast placement.
  • Engagement above or below the usual for that size moves the band a little. A long YouTube video costs more than a short.

The real prices. Deals from the last two years that reached a price both sides accepted, and no others. A deal that was declined, expired or cancelled never agreed on a number, so it teaches the pricing nothing.

  • This talent's own past deals for the same deal type, which count the most.
  • Similar talent of the same size and deal type.
  • This brand's usual price for this kind of deal at this size.

The more of these there are, the more they count, up to a point. A researched rate range, when Zooly has one for the talent, is blended in too.

The rules on top.

  • The talent's own minimum is a floor. Neither the suggestion nor the low end of the range drops below it. A talent with no minimum of their own but a researched minimum is raised to that instead.
  • The brand's budget caps it. When the budget is below the talent's minimum, the suggestion stays at the minimum and says so.
  • Numbers are rounded to friendly amounts, so a suggestion reads as $2,500 rather than $2,483. A price capped by the budget is rounded down, never up past it, even for a budget under $5.
  • Rights change the price. For brand use, organic use costs least, paid social costs more, all media costs more again, and a longer term or a perpetual buyout adds more. When the brief does not say, the suggestion assumes paid social for six months.

When a fact is missing the suggestion says so instead of pretending: a talent with no follower count is priced as a micro creator, and a show with no download figure is estimated from the host's following or assumed to be small. A thin answer comes back with low confidence.

What the person sees

A suggestion is never just a number. It comes back with:

  • the price, and a range from low to high around it
  • a confidence from 0 to 100, showing how much of the price rests on facts rather than benchmarks
  • short reasons, in order, saying what moved it

The reasons read like this:

  • "80,000 followers (micro tier)"
  • "Market rate for a video post at this size: $400 to $1,000"
  • "Researched rate $1,500 to $3,000"
  • "Agreed $2,500 in 3 past deals (median) for this kind of deal"
  • "Similar micro talent agreed a median $1,800 in 7 deals"
  • "This brand usually agrees $2,000 for this kind of deal at this size (4 deals)"

When the budget is the problem, the reason says so in plain words:

  • "Budget below talent minimum: the brand offers $1,500, the talent's minimum is $2,500"
  • "Capped at the brand's budget $1,800 (usual price for this talent is about $2,500)"

A budget below the talent's minimum comes back marked separately from the number, so it can be handled differently from a suggestion that simply fits the budget.

How accuracy is reported over time

The report replays every deal from the past year that reached an agreed price. For each one it asks what Zooly would have suggested before that deal existed, using only the deals that came before it, so a deal never predicts itself. Then it compares the two.

The report groups the results by deal type and size, and shows:

  • how many deals are in the group
  • the average gap between the suggestion and the agreed price, and the median gap
  • the share of deals that landed inside the suggested range
  • how far the opening price moved to the agreed price

The last one is the closest thing to live accuracy: if Zooly opens offers at its own suggestion, the gap between the opening price and the agreed price is the suggestion's real error.

A person reads the report and moves a band by hand. A group needs at least five deals before its band is worth touching, and an average gap under about ten percent is treated as noise. When a band does move, the version changes, so it is clear which version priced which deal.

Nothing is learned automatically. The report is a report.

What it does not do yet

  • It never changes or sends an offer. It does not pick talent, accept, counter, approve or pay. A person decides, and the offer is still the document both sides approve.
  • There is no pricing screen. The team can pull a price for one brand and talent, and pull the accuracy report, but there is no page that shows either.
  • It is mostly benchmarks for now. The bands come from our own research and public creator rate guides, and only part of them has been re-checked. With few priced deals, confidence stays low and the groups are thin.
  • It is not connected to seeding yet. The number on a deal idea still comes from the brief's budget or the talent's minimum.
  • It ignores the conversation. It reads facts and past prices, not what the two sides said to each other.
  • It only knows one currency. Every band is in dollars, and there is no per-market pricing.
  • A deal's budget is not remembered. The accuracy report replays past deals without the budget they were given, and with the talent's follower count and minimum as they are today, not as they were then.